Tech&Science

Stanford study: Fossil-fueled cars will vanish in 8 years

This is really important.

A new study published by Stanford University suggests that fossil-fueled cars will vanish within eight years. And citizens will have no other choice but to invest in electric vehicles or similar technologies due to cost of electric vehicles.

Study includes 100% clean and renewable wind, water, and sunlight (WWS) all-sector energy roadmaps for the 50 United States and suggests (or predicts) very important points for electric vehicles.

By 2020–2025, all new ships are electrified and/or use electrolytic hydrogen, all new port operations are electrified, and port retro-electrification is well underway in addition to buses, trains and trucks.

This will ultimately decrease oil consumption and wil result in the collapse of the petroleum industry.

Mark Z. Jacobson says:

“The main barriers are social, political and getting industries to change. One way to overcome the barriers is to inform people about what is possible. By showing that it’s technologically and economically possible, this study could reduce the barriers to a large scale transformation.”

Jacobson and his colleagues started by taking a close look at the current energy demands of each state, and how those demands would change under business-as-usual conditions by the year 2050. To create a full picture of energy use in each state, they examined energy usage in four sectors: residential, commercial, industrial and transportation. For each sector, they then analyzed the current amount and source of the fuel consumed – coal, oil, gas, nuclear, renewables – and calculated the fuel demands if all fuel usage were replaced with electricity.

“When we did this across all 50 states, we saw a 39 percent reduction in total end-use power demand by the year 2050. About 6 percentage points of that is gained through efficiency improvements to infrastructure, but the bulk is the result of replacing current sources and uses of combustion energy with electricity.”

The report lays out individual roadmaps for each state to achieve an 80 percent transition by 2030, and a full conversion by 2050. Jacobson said that several states are already on their way. Washington state, for instance, could make the switch to full renewables relatively quickly, thanks to the fact that more than 70 percent of its current electricity comes from existing hydroelectric sources. That translates to about 35 percent of the state’s all-purpose power if Washington were 100-percent electrified; wind and solar could fill most of the remainder.

Jacobson said that if the conversion is followed exactly as his plan outlines, the reduction of air pollution in the U.S. could prevent the deaths of approximately 63,000 Americans who die from air pollution-related causes each year. It would also eliminate U.S. emissions of greenhouse gases produced from fossil fuel, which would otherwise cost the world $3.3 trillion a year by 2050.

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